diff --git a/src/app.js b/src/app.js
index 3f53a02..796daa7 100644
--- a/src/app.js
+++ b/src/app.js
@@ -5907,10 +5907,10 @@ function renderOverlayLeaderboard(rows) {
                 <div class="overlay-prediction">
                   <div class="overlay-prediction-meta">
                     <label>${t("overlay.next_predicted_lap")}</label>
-                    <span>${row.predictedRemainingMs !== null ? formatLap(row.predictedRemainingMs) : "-"}</span>
+                    <span>${formatPredictedLapDelta(row.predictedRemainingMs)}</span>
                   </div>
                   <div class="overlay-prediction-track">
-                    <div class="overlay-prediction-fill overlay-prediction-${escapeHtml(row.predictionTone || "good")}" style="width:${Math.max(0, Math.min(100, Math.round((row.predictedProgress || 0) * 100)))}%"></div>
+                    <div class="overlay-prediction-fill overlay-prediction-${escapeHtml(row.predictionTone || "good")}" style="width:${Math.max(0, Math.min(100, Math.round((Math.min(1, row.predictedProgress || 0)) * 100)))}%"></div>
                   </div>
                 </div>
               </div>
@@ -7115,8 +7115,8 @@ function buildLeaderboard(session) {
         ? bestLapMs
         : null;
     const currentLapElapsedMs = lastPassingTs ? Math.max(0, nowTs - lastPassingTs) : 0;
-    const predictedRemainingMs = predictionBaseMs ? Math.max(0, predictionBaseMs - currentLapElapsedMs) : null;
-    const predictedProgress = predictionBaseMs ? Math.min(1.25, currentLapElapsedMs / predictionBaseMs) : 0;
+    const predictedRemainingMs = predictionBaseMs ? predictionBaseMs - currentLapElapsedMs : null;
+    const predictedProgress = predictionBaseMs ? currentLapElapsedMs / predictionBaseMs : 0;
     const predictionTone =
       !predictionBaseMs || predictedProgress <= 0.85
         ? "good"
@@ -7336,6 +7336,16 @@ function formatLap(ms) {
   return `${m}:${s}.${t}`;
 }
 
+function formatPredictedLapDelta(ms) {
+  if (ms === null || ms === undefined || Number.isNaN(ms)) {
+    return "-";
+  }
+  if (ms >= 0) {
+    return formatLap(ms);
+  }
+  return `+${formatLap(Math.abs(ms))}`;
+}
+
 function formatCountdown(ms) {
   const total = Math.max(0, Math.floor(ms));
   const m = Math.floor(total / 60000)
diff --git a/src/styles.css b/src/styles.css
index fd27589..61c5c01 100644
--- a/src/styles.css
+++ b/src/styles.css
@@ -1068,9 +1068,9 @@ select:focus {
 }
 
 .overlay-race-pos .pos-pill {
-  min-width: 22px;
-  height: 22px;
-  font-size: 0.68rem;
+  min-width: 20px;
+  height: 20px;
+  font-size: 0.62rem;
 }
 
 .overlay-shell-dense .pill {
@@ -1176,10 +1176,10 @@ select:focus {
 
 .overlay-race-row {
   display: grid;
-  grid-template-columns: 34px minmax(160px, 1.7fr) repeat(4, minmax(78px, 0.54fr)) minmax(86px, 0.58fr);
-  gap: 5px;
+  grid-template-columns: 30px minmax(148px, 1.42fr) repeat(6, minmax(62px, 0.38fr));
+  gap: 4px;
   align-items: center;
-  padding: 4px 6px;
+  padding: 4px 5px;
   border: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.06);
   border-radius: 8px;
   background: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.03);
@@ -1210,7 +1210,7 @@ select:focus {
 .overlay-race-metric label,
 .overlay-race-best label {
   color: var(--muted);
-  font-size: 0.5rem;
+  font-size: 0.46rem;
   text-transform: uppercase;
   letter-spacing: 0.06em;
 }
@@ -1226,13 +1226,15 @@ select:focus {
 
 .overlay-prediction {
   margin-top: 1px;
+  max-width: 122px;
 }
 
 .overlay-prediction-meta {
   display: flex;
   justify-content: space-between;
-  gap: 6px;
+  gap: 4px;
   margin-bottom: 1px;
+  max-width: 122px;
 }
 
 .overlay-prediction-meta label,
@@ -1245,6 +1247,7 @@ select:focus {
 
 .overlay-prediction-track {
   height: 2px;
+  max-width: 122px;
   border-radius: 999px;
   overflow: hidden;
   background: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.08);
@@ -1265,12 +1268,18 @@ select:focus {
 
 .overlay-prediction-late {
   background: linear-gradient(90deg, #ffd0d0, #e10600);
+  animation: overlayPredictionLatePulse 1.1s ease-in-out infinite;
+}
+
+@keyframes overlayPredictionLatePulse {
+  0%, 100% { opacity: 0.55; }
+  50% { opacity: 1; }
 }
 
 .overlay-race-metric strong,
 .overlay-race-best strong {
   font-family: Orbitron, sans-serif;
-  font-size: clamp(1rem, 1.6vw, 1.35rem);
+  font-size: clamp(0.88rem, 1.2vw, 1.08rem);
 }
 
 .overlay-empty {