Files
fgAI/src/fgai/anomaly.py
2026-06-21 14:59:47 +02:00

235 lines
9.7 KiB
Python

from __future__ import annotations
import ipaddress
from collections import Counter, defaultdict
from datetime import datetime
from statistics import mean, pstdev
from .logs import THREAT_ACTIONS, event_score, is_utm_event
from .models import AnomalyFinding, LogEvent
def _as_int(value: str | None) -> int:
if not value:
return 0
try:
return int(float(value))
except ValueError:
return 0
def _severity(score: int) -> str:
if score >= 80:
return "critical"
if score >= 60:
return "high"
if score >= 35:
return "medium"
return "low"
def _confidence(event_count: int, reason_count: int) -> str:
if event_count >= 20 and reason_count >= 3:
return "high"
if event_count >= 5 and reason_count >= 2:
return "medium"
return "low"
def _is_public_ip(value: str) -> bool:
try:
return ipaddress.ip_address(value).is_global
except ValueError:
return False
def _event_timestamp(event: LogEvent) -> float | None:
"""Return the FortiGate event time in seconds when present."""
eventtime = event.fields.get("eventtime")
if eventtime:
try:
value = float(eventtime)
# Exports can use seconds, milliseconds, microseconds, or nanoseconds.
while value > 10_000_000_000:
value /= 1_000
return value
except ValueError:
pass
date = event.fields.get("date")
clock = event.fields.get("time")
if date and clock:
try:
return datetime.fromisoformat(f"{date}T{clock}").timestamp()
except ValueError:
return None
return None
def _rate_per_minute(events: list[LogEvent]) -> tuple[float | None, float]:
timestamps = [timestamp for event in events if (timestamp := _event_timestamp(event)) is not None]
if len(timestamps) < 2:
return None, 0.0
duration_seconds = max(timestamps) - min(timestamps)
return len(timestamps) * 60 / max(1.0, duration_seconds), duration_seconds
def detect_source_anomalies(events: list[LogEvent], *, limit: int = 20) -> list[AnomalyFinding]:
by_src: dict[str, list[LogEvent]] = defaultdict(list)
for event in events:
if event.src_ip:
by_src[event.src_ip].append(event)
if not by_src:
return []
event_counts = [len(src_events) for src_events in by_src.values()]
distinct_dst_counts = [
len({event.fields.get("dstip") for event in src_events if event.fields.get("dstip")})
for src_events in by_src.values()
]
byte_totals = [
sum(_as_int(event.fields.get("sentbyte")) + _as_int(event.fields.get("rcvdbyte")) for event in src_events)
for src_events in by_src.values()
]
hitcount_totals = [sum(_as_int(event.fields.get("hitcount")) for event in src_events) for src_events in by_src.values()]
source_rates = [rate for src_events in by_src.values() if (rate := _rate_per_minute(src_events)[0]) is not None]
avg_events = mean(event_counts)
std_events = pstdev(event_counts) or 1.0
avg_dst = mean(distinct_dst_counts)
std_dst = pstdev(distinct_dst_counts) or 1.0
avg_bytes = mean(byte_totals)
std_bytes = pstdev(byte_totals) or 1.0
avg_hitcount = mean(hitcount_totals)
std_hitcount = pstdev(hitcount_totals) or 1.0
avg_rate = mean(source_rates) if source_rates else 0.0
std_rate = (pstdev(source_rates) or 1.0) if source_rates else 1.0
findings: list[AnomalyFinding] = []
for src_ip, src_events in by_src.items():
event_count = len(src_events)
distinct_dst = len({event.fields.get("dstip") for event in src_events if event.fields.get("dstip")})
distinct_services = len({event.fields.get("service") for event in src_events if event.fields.get("service")})
distinct_src_ports = len({event.fields.get("srcport") for event in src_events if event.fields.get("srcport")})
distinct_dst_ports = len({event.fields.get("dstport") for event in src_events if event.fields.get("dstport")})
total_bytes = sum(_as_int(event.fields.get("sentbyte")) + _as_int(event.fields.get("rcvdbyte")) for event in src_events)
total_hitcount = sum(_as_int(event.fields.get("hitcount")) for event in src_events)
max_hitcount = max((_as_int(event.fields.get("hitcount")) for event in src_events), default=0)
event_rate, observed_duration = _rate_per_minute(src_events)
deny_count = sum(1 for event in src_events if event.action in THREAT_ACTIONS)
utm_count = sum(1 for event in src_events if is_utm_event(event))
high_severity_count = sum(1 for event in src_events if event.severity in {"critical", "high", "alert", "emergency"})
policies = {event.fields.get("policyid") for event in src_events if event.fields.get("policyid") and event.fields.get("policyid") != "0"}
implicit_deny_count = sum(1 for event in src_events if event.fields.get("policyid") == "0")
reasons: list[str] = []
score = 0
event_z = (event_count - avg_events) / std_events
if event_count >= 25 and event_z >= 2:
points = min(25, 10 + int(event_z * 5))
score += points
reasons.append(f"unusually high event volume for source ({event_count} events, z={event_z:.1f})")
if event_rate is not None:
rate_z = (event_rate - avg_rate) / std_rate
if event_rate >= 20 and rate_z >= 2:
points = min(25, 10 + int(rate_z * 5))
score += points
reasons.append(f"unusually high log rate ({event_rate:.1f} events/min, z={rate_z:.1f})")
dst_z = (distinct_dst - avg_dst) / std_dst
if distinct_dst >= 10 and dst_z >= 2:
points = min(25, 10 + int(dst_z * 5))
score += points
reasons.append(f"source contacted unusually many destinations ({distinct_dst}, z={dst_z:.1f})")
byte_z = (total_bytes - avg_bytes) / std_bytes
if total_bytes >= 50_000_000 and byte_z >= 2:
points = min(20, 8 + int(byte_z * 4))
score += points
reasons.append(f"unusually high byte volume ({total_bytes} bytes, z={byte_z:.1f})")
hitcount_z = (total_hitcount - avg_hitcount) / std_hitcount
if total_hitcount >= 1_000 and hitcount_z >= 2:
points = min(15, 5 + int(hitcount_z * 3))
score += points
reasons.append(f"unusually high policy hitcount ({total_hitcount}, max event value {max_hitcount})")
if event_count >= 5:
deny_rate = deny_count / event_count
if deny_count >= 10 and deny_rate >= 0.5:
score += min(20, 8 + int(deny_rate * 12))
reasons.append(f"high deny/threat-action rate ({deny_count}/{event_count})")
if implicit_deny_count >= 10:
score += min(15, 5 + implicit_deny_count // 10)
reasons.append(f"implicit FortiGate deny/drop hits observed (policyid=0, {implicit_deny_count} events)")
if utm_count:
utm_score = sum(event_score(event) for event in src_events if is_utm_event(event))
points = min(35, 5 + utm_score)
score += points
reasons.append(f"UTM/security detections observed ({utm_count} events)")
if high_severity_count:
score += min(20, high_severity_count * 8)
reasons.append(f"high or critical severity events observed ({high_severity_count})")
if distinct_services >= 8 and event_count >= 10:
score += min(15, distinct_services)
reasons.append(f"many distinct services used ({distinct_services})")
if distinct_dst_ports >= 10 and event_count >= 10:
score += min(15, distinct_dst_ports)
reasons.append(f"many destination ports contacted ({distinct_dst_ports})")
if _is_public_ip(src_ip) and (utm_count or deny_count >= 10):
score += 10
reasons.append("public source with repeated security-relevant events")
if not reasons:
continue
score = min(score, 100)
findings.append(
AnomalyFinding(
subject=src_ip,
score=score,
severity=_severity(score),
confidence=_confidence(event_count, len(reasons)),
reasons=reasons,
evidence={
"events": event_count,
"distinct_destinations": distinct_dst,
"distinct_services": distinct_services,
"deny_or_threat_actions": deny_count,
"utm_events": utm_count,
"high_severity_events": high_severity_count,
"total_bytes": total_bytes,
"events_per_minute": round(event_rate, 2) if event_rate is not None else 0.0,
"observed_duration_seconds": round(observed_duration, 2),
"timed_events": sum(1 for event in src_events if _event_timestamp(event) is not None),
"hitcount_total": total_hitcount,
"hitcount_max": max_hitcount,
"distinct_src_ports": distinct_src_ports,
"distinct_dst_ports": distinct_dst_ports,
"policy_count": len(policies),
"implicit_deny_events": implicit_deny_count,
},
)
)
return sorted(findings, key=lambda finding: finding.score, reverse=True)[:limit]
def anomaly_summary(findings: list[AnomalyFinding]) -> dict[str, int]:
counts = Counter(finding.severity for finding in findings)
return {
"total": len(findings),
"critical": counts["critical"],
"high": counts["high"],
"medium": counts["medium"],
"low": counts["low"],
}